Blackjack Investment

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16’dilemma: hit or stand?
At much of the time, we would see a hand of 16 vs. dealer’s 7 or 10. As can be found in the basic strategy, it is advised that players should always hit 16 when dealer has the up-card with value above 7, but it seems easy to bust with 16 in hand. Thus, many people are confused about hitting or standing with such a high probability of busting. Actually, when the dealer has a 10 up, he'll bust 23 times out of 100. Interestingly, when he has a 7 up, he'll bust 26 times out of 100 -- not really much difference. And when you hit 16, your own chance to bust is exactly the same whether the dealer shows a 10 or a 7. So far, the two hands seem extremely similar for playing purposes. Then on earth, is it worthy of hitting for getting a lower card or waiting for the busting of dealers?


Suppose you hit your 16 vs. 10 and manage to catch a small card. In fact, you're still probably going to lose the hand because in this situation, only a 4 or a 5 would help. There is only a very slight difference with about 5 hands out of 1000 between hitting and standing on your 16. Because if you hit you won't be losing as much as if you stayed. Here, surrendering would be the best selection if possible. Commonly, mistaken ploppy likes to assume the dealer has a 10 for the second card. In fact, if you did hit your 16 against a 10 and caught a 3 to make 19, you actually only have 53% favorite to win the hand.

Nevertheless, there is a suggestion with many of your 16's containing a 4 or a 5, such as 8/5/3, or  9/4/3, or 7/5/4, or 4/4/4/4, etc., even a confirmed basic strategy player should not hit against a 10, but hit multi-card 16's such as 6/3/7, 2/6/8, or even A/6/8/A (no 4 or 5), since a 4 and a 5 are good for the hand of 16 against dealer’ 10 and there is less chance to get a 4 or 5 with more 4 and 5 cards dealt. Another strategy is that, you can also hit with 16v10 if you have 2 cards, and stand if you have 3 or more cards in your hand. The reason is that with a 2-card 16 you hold rather higher cards, thus leaving more low cards for drawing. But if you have a 3-card-16, you already holding lower cards and chances are reduced for drawing another lower card. But as mentioned before, surrender is the best option. Players who try to play as an A.P. need to realize that you are still going to lose half your hands regardless of what you behave. Knowing the count can give a clue on hitting or standing, but it won't change the outcome: 16 vs. a 10 will still result in a loss.

With regards to 16 against a 7, player should never stand it as there are just too many "outs" that would help to win the hand. That is, if you catch any deuce against a 7, you've probably just made yourself a winner. Though you have exactly the same risk to bust when you hit 16, whenever you don't bust, you have a much better chance to win the hand against a 7 than against the 10. That makes hitting much more worthwhile against the 7 up. Though with 16 against a 7, you will probably lose either way, however, your probability of winning or pushing is better by taking a hit. Statistically, the extra 6.79% decent savings would be met with hit in the 6 deck game.

Card counters, can vary the playing depending upon which cards have been eliminated from play. But if you're not a card counter, although you should often stand with 16 against a 10, you'll virtually always be confident to hit with any kind of 16 against a dealer's 7 regardless of how many cards it contains. How about when you have 16 against an 8, 9 or A? Same story -- hit it every single time as your habit in which you'll be approaching the destination of success.

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